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Any idea that the Russians will use a nuclear weapon neglects the reality of the rampant Russian military corruption.
Like other weapons, they need maintenance and upkeep. Are you saying that they were kept up like they should have been?
I think that if the Russians actually attempt to detonate a nuke from their arsenal, it just might be a dud.
If it becomes verifiable that Russia failed to maintain their nukes, Russia no longer has a nuclear deterrent.
This is why they haven't.

@jeffowski why would they want fallout on their own border?

Church of Jeff

@heyoka —modern nuclear weapons have much much less radiation and fallout due to their much higher efficiency. Fallout is essentially unspent fuel that got blown apart before full fission happens. With deuterium-lithium hydrogen bombs, there is much less fallout and radiation. You don’t want waste the blast potential by creating radiation instead of heat.