John Laghezza MLB / NFL Moving Averages 🤖<p>Coming to ya straight from an odd-smelling waiting room, it's Friday night lights' MLB pick 'em two-pack <span class="h-card"><a href="https://twitter.com/MayoMediaNet" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>MayoMediaNet@twitter.com</span></a></span> <span class="h-card"><a href="https://twitter.com/ThePME" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>ThePME@twitter.com</span></a></span> </p><p>ATL vs CLE, 720pmEST <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/ForTheA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ForTheA</span></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/ForTheLand" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ForTheLand</span></a></p><p>Theory of the case is pretty simple on this one. For his entire career, Chris Sale has been a habitual strike thrower; a 5.8% career walk rate through +1800ip is no small feat. Ignore the year-to-date 6.1%BB rate (which is great anyway), Sale's control may be better than ever — it's underpinned by the second lowest Ball% (28.9%) in MLB. <br>The Guardians have an interesting approach as a team; they don't strike out because their contact rates are very high, but they're also very aggressive — top-3 in MLB in both Swing% and Zone-Swing%. The results been the Guards as a bottom-5 squad in overall BB% but also BB% to LHP. Sale's going to challenge the zone nonstop and CLE will be happy to hack away to avoid falling behind in counts.</p><p>CHRIS SALE WALKS ALLOWED, 1.5 -- LOWER</p><p>SF vs PIT, 940pmEST <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SFGiants" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>SFGiants</span></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/LetsGoBucs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LetsGoBucs</span></a> </p><p>Pirate sophomore SP Quinn "Judas" Priester gets another shot in the Big Show against the Giants in the San Francisco Bay. I get he's only 23-years-old... but the Sinker-first approach hasn't worked yet and I think the trend continues tonight. Through his career 54.1ip it's hard to imagine things going much worse to date — 7.79ERA (5.18 SIERA), 1.71WHIP, 3.9%K-BB, 46%Hard Hit, .401xwOBAcon, 2.5HR/9.... woof. It's tough to survive in MLB throwing 93mph to contact and not inducing whiffs with your secondaries.<br>Queue up Thairo Estrada for the Gigantes, who's just about the hottest hitter going right now. Over the last two weeks vsRHP (31PA) Thairo's crushing — .433BA, 1.252OPS, 52%Hard Hit, 12%Barrel, .399xwOBA with 6XBH. My model has SF as tonight's highest scoring team with Estrada at the center of it, plus we get the juicy 1.25x bonus.</p><p>THAIRO ESTRADA TOTAL BASES, 1.5 -- HIGHER</p><p>Sign up to Underdog using promo code: MMN for $100 first-deposit match bonus — <a href="https://play.underdogfantasy.com/pc-cIzlKpcF5B" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">play.underdogfantasy.com/pc-cIzlKpcF5B</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>