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#kurzweil

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I’ve been on this orbiting rock for almost three quarters of a century and if I was given an extra year for every statement in the vein of:’it feels like we're on the cusp of multiple breakthroughs’, I will live longer than Methuselah.

Still these kinds of statements represent an undefined emotion which feels like I’ve got my toes over the edge of something revolutionary that is about to happen. I curse #Kurzweil and his devilishly clever book for awakening me to this emotion which had hitherto remained bogged in my subconscious. I have, ever since reading Kurzweil’s book, endured a decade and a half of ‘toe hanging’ on that edge, waiting, hoping, enthralled by an adrenalin-filled expectation that something, somewhere, soon will deliver the promised mana.

If the last fifteen years are any guide, I will die on the edge of that precipice. Or maybe, just maybe, if we are all lucky, I will get to dive into my salvation.

@alexhern's description of #AI is succinct & accurate - unusual for @TheGuardian:

> Once you [understand that AI can't handle outliers], almost everything that people like #Altman, #Musk & #Kurzweil are saying about #AGI being nigh seems like sheer fantasy, on par with imagining that really tall ladders will soon make it to the moon.

A timely reinforcement of the question:

> What if the bubble is about to burst?

#AIHype #StochasticParrots #GPT #SamAltman

theguardian.com/technology/art

The Guardian · Why AI’s Tom Cruise problem means it is ‘doomed to fail’By Alex Hern
Continued thread

Sen kan man klura på definitionen av ”kraftfull”. Mänskligheten består av flera miljarder individer med olika kunskaper, förmågor, erfarenheter, egenskaper och språk. Vi är utspridda över stora delar av klotet och förstår vår närmiljö, tradition, historia, kultur och seder.

Det är ett väldigt reducerande synsätt att tro en extremt kraftfull och påläst maskin ska jämföras med oss. Eller andra varelser som genomgått evolution. Men helt klart kan en extremt kraftfull ”AI” uträtta saker.
#kurzweil

"If you create something that is thousands of times -- or millions of times -- more powerful than the brain, we can't anticipate what it is going to do”

Jag har 8000 gånger mer arbetsminne i min dator jämfört med 1997. Office-paketet och Photoshop är ungefär lika trögt som alltid.
Min CPU går inte heller att jämföra med förr och har en neuralmotor. Det är fortfarande bara en dator.
#kurzweil
slashdot.org/story/24/07/05/08

slashdot.orgRay Kurzweil Still Says He Will Merge With AI - SlashdotRenowned futurist Ray Kurzweil, 76, has doubled down on his prediction of the Singularity's imminent arrival in an interview with The New York Times. Gesturing to a graph showing exponential growth in computing power, Kurzweil asserted humanity would merge with AI by 2045, augmenting biological brai...