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Using 10 latest polls in Arizona, all after Oct 8, polling average says:
KAMALA HARRIS = 47,6%
DONALD TRUMP = 46,9%
Kamala Harris lead is 0.7% (was 0.9% two weeks ago)
This is razor-tight race, very slight lead, inside margin of error
Note Harris has held slight lead since Convention
@tomiahonen
I can see the days of vote counting again here in Maricopa County. Where in all other states, they're yelling, "Stop the count!" Here, they'll be yelling "Keep counting!" because so many Rs vote by mail in AZ. With any luck, it'll be too little too late, and Harris will have won too many swing states elsewhere for AZ to make a difference.
@tomiahonen Tomi - your analysis is backed up by the much vaunted Focaldata UK polling group.
. @tomiahonen Arizona sucks. I know because I live here. It's jam packed with old white fearful people. Who shouldn't be driving...
@TheOcelot saying “#immigrants” derogatorily a dozen times a day, while having no instances of having bad interactions with immigrants in real life (and lots of good experiences)… and the only immigrants she has had problems with are those moving to AZ from CA who seem to have a problem with her 20MPH top freeway speed. … I spent a week with mom there
@tomiahonen
Thank you, Tomi! That was a lot of work on your part, even if you are the numbers guy. I really appreciate all the time and your knowledge putting it all together for us.