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Tomi T Ahonen

I cannot YET tell you which are the states that are ACTUALLY in play, because ... you know this by now ... we do not yet have VALID data. I hope to have first view of those states next Saturday

BUT my GUESSTIMATE based on 2020

I think MI PA NV not close

The race to be in WI AZ GA NC FL (TX OH IA)

@tomiahonen As a TX resident, I will be voting straight blue.

@blorf Texas will go purple one of these elections. I am hoping this could be it, but it could be also a kind of mixed result for example that we only get 1 of Kamala Harris or Colin Allred but not both... that kind of mixing often happens when a state goes from one solid support of one party, towards a purple state that becomes genuine swing state. And swing states also often then have split tickets

@blorf and in the long run, my gut says, Texas has to become light blue, all the trends (youth, Hispanic, urbanization, education) are pushing it away from being so red it has been for many decades now.

@tomiahonen as a Texan, reading this makes me so happy. I've been waiting my 20+ years of voting to see Texas turn blue again.

@tomiahonen if that's the case she win easily. Do we think his staff knows that? His idiotic events in CA and Long Island are a waste.

@CulpepperRing Trump knows yes, his team has known all along that there is no chance (they knew the Rasmussen etc polls were fakes, they PAID for them). But why CA and Long Island? Trump has some business there, wants the campaign to fund his travel. They do what he demands. and theoretically those might have been fund-raising trips (ie taking bribes)

@tomiahonen wouldn't it be great if lots of people responded they were going to Long Island event and didn't show up.

@tomiahonen

Plus his entire entourage and probably media stay at his property at inflated rates—like he grifted the government for stays and food for his entourage during his term. Now he’s doing it to the campaign as well.

@CulpepperRing

@bronakins @CulpepperRing Yes, this is what Trump started when Manafort taught him how to use the campaign as his personal cash machine in 2016, how to launder Putin money to the campaign, into partly his own pocket (by charging excessive fees for larger number of rooms than needed, while staying at his own properties). This is why Trump was also campaigning DURING his Presidency so early, years before any other incumbent President started campaigning. And this cycle, started already in 2021 !!