anlomedad<p>Forests can't be used in NDC (nationally determined contribution).Forests are in adaptation mode, that is, death by drought, bugs, fires, until new ecosystem members have moved in long after °C is stabilized. <br>Trees adapt to longer growth seasons, higher temperatures, over-fertilisation by CO2. This means less water and nutrients and makes them unhealthy.</p><p>Trees only park our CO2, then they burn. </p><p><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Koutsodendris" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Koutsodendris</span></a> et al 2020 counted pollen at Lake Ohrid, Albania. <br>Look at the gap between rising °C 🟡 vs rising pollen count for temperate/mesophilus trees 🟤 🟢.</p><p> Adapting to a new climate takes time, even with seed-carriers and migration corridors: 1000yrs until new ecosystem members have moved in and adaptation to a new stable climate is accomplished. </p><p>But we don't have migration corridors. We have settlements and agricultural wastelands with pesticides everywhere.</p><p>Also, sinks start outgassing once ppm drops. So if your <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/NDC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NDC</span></a> include negative emissions by DACS or CCS to undo a temperature <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/overshoot" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>overshoot</span></a>, to really remove 1t CO2 from the system, you must remove 1.5t once we're in the negative emissions phase.</p><p>Outgassing is a physical process to balance changes in atmosphere composition. But of course, when ppm drops considerably, it also changes °C and regional climate and hydrological cycles – again. So your ecosystem is going into adaptation mode all over again. Forests burn.. again.</p><p>Overshoot scenarios aren't a good idea, even if we had working technology and concepts. CO2 removal adds another stressful phase and prolongs adaptation to changing factors – for us and our human systems, and for ecosystems on land and in the ocean.</p><p><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateCrisis</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/COP29" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>COP29</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/NDC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NDC</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/CCS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>CCS</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/DACS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>DACS</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/DAC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>DAC</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/afforestation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>afforestation</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/deforestation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>deforestation</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/reforestation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>reforestation</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/landsink" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>landsink</span></a></p>