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#WarInUkraine D+475 (06/13) PdS1 - Dnepr-Donetsk offensive

The pace of advance quickens in the Dnepr-Donetsk offensive, towards the #Azov Sea, with some signs of breakthrough

good mood

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Time machine,
If you've lost track, go back to #WarInUkraine chronicle N°CDLXXIV

https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110532261251074789

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In red, changes since yesterday

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Loss ratios / have the following exit points :
May 15: 1.22 (offensive trigger on #Bakhmut)
June 4: 1.58 (offensive triggered on #VelykaNovosilka)
June 13: 1.68

There is no indication of losses suggesting a debacle by either army.

5/n

sector 1/in the #Bakhmut direction, no tactical gains

The front line is therefore unchanged

(i) #Bakhmut town, no tactical gains

(ii) northern salient of #Bakhmut, no tactical gains

200th marine motorized rifle brig.
https://t.me/RtrDonetsk/18262

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(iii) #Bakhmut southern salient, no tactical gain

In the #BilaHora axis, the dynamic map has been updated with the important tactical advance on the SD-Donbass canal, which is a major wet cut beyond which the have been pushed back

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Video proof of the SD-Donbass canal takeover

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sector 2/in the #VelykaNovosilka direction, the tactical gains are significant

+18 km2,
3 additional colonies liberated,
+4 km towards the blue-green Sea of Azov

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Why is it advancing in this sector?

- topography: rather favorable
The wet cut is in the direction of the advance and of the T-0518 road, which is a strategic route.
However, the flanks are high ground that must be conquered to protect the breakthrough.

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- defenses: no lines of fortifications before #Novopetrikivka (15-20 km), where 2 lines of fortifications have been built up to #Volnovakha
Below, there's nothing left until the green and blue Sea of Azov...

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-weather: cloudy, prevented air fire support
Improving AA defense and EW countermeasures is a key issue for future success.

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The garrison situation around #Rivnopil is about to get difficult with on 3 sides
We should have a re-alignment to the south, with the left flank progressing with the other axes

14/n

(ii) in the #Staromlyrivka axis, the advance is significant (+4 km in 1 day with an increasing gradient)

#Makarivka has been liberated by the glorious 35th brigade

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are in greater difficulty here, with a general killed and a sizeable number of prisoners

A counter-attack by the 127th motorized rifle div. is said to have failed

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Major General Sergey Goryachev was reportedly killed in a #HIMARS strike on a barracks (warning )

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(iii) in the #Novodonetske axis, the 4th Armored Brigade is advancing west on the right flank at the same pace as the central axis

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sector 3/ in the #Orikhiv direction, no tactical gains

The front line remains unchanged

The liberation of #Lobkhove is confirmed, on the left flank

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Little activity with aerial bombardments of FAB gliding bombs on reserves, this problem still exists

The difficulties encountered by in this sector explain the contrasting weekly results (see below).

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1/ effective fire support
-abundant ATGM/anti-tank weapons
- TOS-1 thermobaric artillery
- Kh-52 aviation support with improved Vikhr missiles

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2/ confirmed fighting spirit of 1st and 2nd line troops

3/ formidable minefields
- have placed additional explosives under anti-tank mines (photo).
-they also have a good remote mine deposition system.

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Thanks to @escortert for this update
Source PdS1 June 13
https://mastodon.world/@escortert@bird.makeup/110537388979433683